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2017-09-17

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 76.0% 24.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.0% 29.0% - โœ“
Margin 76.0% 24.0% -6.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.0% 18.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.0% 36.0% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles 34 7-12 0-0 3-7 14 1 2 0 5 17 17 -
M. Moore 32 8-18 3-6 2-3 3 5 1 0 3 21 9 -
S. Augustus 31 8-12 2-2 0-0 5 4 0 1 0 18 16 -
R. Brunson 30 1-5 0-1 3-4 6 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
L. Whalen 22 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 5 0 0 1 8 10 -
R. Montgomery 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 3 5 -
J. Perkins 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
P. Pierson 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Natasha Howard 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Cecilia Zandalasini 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Temi Fagbenle 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elena Delle Donne 34 6-13 1-1 2-2 8 3 0 1 0 15 14 -
K. Thomas 33 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 2 7 9 -
Kristi Toliver 33 5-13 2-5 1-1 3 5 1 0 4 13 5 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 31 4-8 0-0 6-6 5 1 0 1 1 14 12 -
Emma Meesseman 28 2-14 0-1 4-4 3 3 2 3 0 8 5 -
Natasha Cloud 19 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 4 -1 -
Tianna Hawkins 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Hightower 10 3-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 4 -
A. Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter