Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 38 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 34 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| C. Little | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Currie | 23 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Yvonne Turner | 21 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazmine Jones | 39 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 38 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | - |
| A. Thomas | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 15 | - |
| C. Williams | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Bentley | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Tuck | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter