Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 37 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 35 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 34 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 24 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| C. Paris | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 16 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Chong | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kaela Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne | 38 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 37 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 36 | 4-17 | 1-9 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 11 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Hightower | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Latta | 4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter