Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (107-104). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 28 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trevor Booker | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 31 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Devin Harris | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Torrey Craig | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter