๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2018-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +6 (94-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 36 4-13 2-6 0-0 7 3 1 1 2 10 7 -
D.J. Augustin * 36 8-14 1-5 3-3 7 3 0 0 0 20 16 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 31 3-19 0-3 4-4 14 3 2 3 0 10 13 -
Wes Iwundu * 28 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 5 3 -
Jonathan Isaac * 20 5-11 3-6 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 15 9 -
Mario Hezonja 27 5-12 3-8 1-2 2 0 3 1 1 14 7 -
Shelvin Mack 24 3-10 0-4 2-2 1 5 0 0 0 8 4 -
Bismack Biyombo 16 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Rodney Purvis 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Khem Birch 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dewayne Dedmon * 33 7-16 3-7 0-0 10 3 0 1 0 17 15 -
John Collins * 32 5-9 0-3 0-0 11 1 0 2 0 10 15 -
Isaiah Taylor * 29 4-11 0-2 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 9 3 -
Taurean Prince * 26 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 8 0 0 4 5 7 -
Damion Lee * 23 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
Mike Muscala 24 5-11 3-9 0-0 10 3 0 0 1 13 14 -
Tyler Dorsey 21 8-11 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 19 8 -
Josh Magette 18 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 5 4 -
Miles Plumlee 15 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
DeAndre' Bembry 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 4 6 -

* = starter