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2018-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.4% 50.6% - ✗
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 ✗ (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - ✗

Actual: LA Clippers -7 (104-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thaddeus Young * 39 4-12 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
Victor Oladipo * 37 11-17 3-6 5-6 4 12 5 1 2 30 33 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 33 6-11 2-6 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 15 7 -
Myles Turner * 32 9-15 2-4 4-5 8 0 0 1 1 24 17 -
Darren Collison * 30 4-7 2-3 4-4 1 4 1 0 1 14 12 -
Cory Joseph 21 4-9 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 10 6 -
Lance Stephenson 20 3-9 0-5 2-4 5 1 0 1 1 8 5 -
Domantas Sabonis 19 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
Trevor Booker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Glenn Robinson III 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 37 9-16 3-6 0-0 4 7 1 1 2 21 16 -
Austin Rivers * 36 7-15 3-8 1-2 3 7 2 1 3 18 13 -
Tyrone Wallace * 36 4-7 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 3 9 7 -
Danilo Gallinari * 31 1-9 0-3 5-5 6 1 0 3 1 7 7 -
DeAndre Jordan * 28 4-8 0-0 0-2 12 0 0 0 2 8 10 -
Lou Williams 32 7-13 1-4 5-5 2 3 2 0 2 20 12 -
Montrezl Harrell 21 9-12 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 19 12 -
Sindarius Thornwell 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
C.J. Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter