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2018-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 88.4% 11.6% -8.9 ✓ (7.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 82.2% 17.8% - ✓
Margin 89.2% 10.8% -11.6 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.2% 34.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 84.3% 15.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 72.7% 27.3% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento Kings -16 (96-112). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Draymond Green * 33 3-5 0-1 2-2 9 7 2 1 2 8 20 -
Klay Thompson * 32 10-19 3-7 2-3 2 1 1 0 4 25 6 -
Kevin Durant * 30 8-16 2-5 9-11 10 5 0 1 1 27 26 -
Quinn Cook * 27 4-10 2-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 10 7 -
JaVale McGee * 11 3-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
Kevon Looney 25 1-2 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 2 1 7 14 -
Nick Young 20 2-7 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
Patrick McCaw 15 3-6 0-1 1-1 2 0 2 1 0 7 6 -
Shaun Livingston 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 6 1 0 0 3 12 -
David West 14 4-7 0-0 0-1 0 3 2 0 2 8 4 -
Jordan Bell 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
Damian Jones 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skal Labissiere * 29 2-8 0-4 4-4 6 3 0 1 4 8 6 -
De'Aaron Fox * 27 6-11 0-2 3-3 3 8 1 2 1 15 17 -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 25 5-8 2-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 12 10 -
Justin Jackson * 25 2-9 0-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 0 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 24 6-11 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 12 10 -
Buddy Hield 29 6-11 4-5 3-3 3 4 2 0 1 19 16 -
Frank Mason III 18 2-5 1-2 2-4 3 3 0 0 1 7 7 -
Jack Cooley 17 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 2 1 0 0 7 12 -
Bruno Caboclo 15 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 7 3 -
Vince Carter 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
JaKarr Sampson 12 0-7 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 -5 -

* = starter