Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | +2.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +4 (114-110). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 40 | 11-21 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 32 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -4 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 30 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Devin Harris | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Torrey Craig | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 13 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| CJ Miles | 18 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Delon Wright | 17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Norman Powell | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter