Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -12 (117-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 40 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 34 | 6-14 | 6-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 32 | 13-20 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 30 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 27 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 25 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 19 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Treveon Graham | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Malik Monk | 15 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dwayne Bacon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Willy Hernangomez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julyan Stone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taurean Prince * | 36 | 8-18 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| John Collins * | 28 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 26 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Damion Lee | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Andrew White III | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Cavanaugh | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
* = starter