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2018-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% - โœ—
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.5 โœ— (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.4% 61.6% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -1 (124-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 47 14-27 3-10 3-6 7 9 2 1 4 34 22 -
Markieff Morris * 43 6-15 2-5 6-8 7 4 0 0 3 20 13 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 42 5-12 3-6 5-6 11 1 3 0 3 18 18 -
Tomas Satoransky * 34 4-8 0-2 2-2 2 6 2 0 0 10 12 -
Marcin Gortat * 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 2 2 2 7 -
Ian Mahinmi 26 6-9 0-0 2-2 11 1 1 1 2 14 17 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 25 2-6 2-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 8 7 -
Ramon Sessions 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 2 4 -
Mike Scott 16 4-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 9 3 -
Jodie Meeks 12 3-7 1-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 47 8-21 4-9 1-3 5 9 2 3 2 21 17 -
Jayson Tatum * 46 9-23 0-2 1-3 5 6 0 0 2 19 5 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 44 11-22 4-8 5-7 9 1 2 0 2 31 19 -
Aron Baynes * 33 2-5 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 1 3 7 7 -
Guerschon Yabusele * 18 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 5 1 0 1 4 10 -
Semi Ojeleye 27 1-2 1-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
Greg Monroe 25 8-9 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 4 16 16 -
Shane Larkin 24 4-8 1-1 2-2 1 4 2 0 0 11 10 -
Abdel Nader 23 4-7 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 8 -

* = starter