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2018-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -1.7 โœ— (10.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% - โœ—
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 โœ— (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 56.7% 43.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (112-103). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Wilson Chandler * 41 11-16 4-7 0-1 10 4 2 0 2 26 24 -
Gary Harris * 35 6-17 2-7 0-0 1 2 3 0 1 14 2 -
Jamal Murray * 34 5-11 3-7 5-6 6 4 2 0 4 18 15 -
Paul Millsap * 26 2-5 0-1 1-3 5 2 1 2 3 5 7 -
Nikola Jokiฤ‡ * 26 5-8 2-5 3-3 9 5 1 0 4 15 18 -
Will Barton 25 3-14 0-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 8 -1 -
Mason Plumlee 21 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 5 1 2 3 5 15 -
Trey Lyles 16 2-7 1-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 2 -
Devin Harris 13 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 5 2 -
Darrell Arthur 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 40 2-11 1-7 0-2 9 8 3 2 4 5 12 -
Julius Randle * 39 11-17 0-0 4-7 13 2 0 0 4 26 20 -
Kyle Kuzma * 39 10-20 5-11 1-1 13 2 1 0 1 26 21 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 36 3-6 1-4 3-4 8 5 2 0 0 10 19 -
Brook Lopez * 25 6-13 3-6 2-3 3 0 0 1 1 17 7 -
Isaiah Thomas 31 7-19 4-9 5-6 4 2 0 0 3 23 7 -
Travis Wear 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Alex Caruso 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Ivica Zubac 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter