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2018-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +10.0 โœ“ (26.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +36 (108-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mario Hezonja * 28 2-7 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
D.J. Augustin * 25 3-7 1-1 2-2 1 6 1 0 3 9 7 -
Jonathan Isaac * 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 7 5 -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 23 5-14 0-2 0-0 10 1 0 0 4 10 3 -
Jonathon Simmons * 23 3-13 1-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 2 10 -4 -
Khem Birch 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
Shelvin Mack 19 3-9 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 7 1 -
Wes Iwundu 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
Marreese Speights 15 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 6 7 -
Arron Afflalo 15 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
Rodney Purvis 14 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -
Bismack Biyombo 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 25 11-17 0-0 2-4 7 2 0 0 1 24 15 -
Patty Mills * 25 4-8 2-5 3-3 1 3 1 0 0 13 10 -
Dejounte Murray * 24 5-7 0-0 1-3 8 2 3 0 1 11 16 -
Kyle Anderson * 22 2-2 1-1 0-0 6 4 2 1 3 5 13 -
Danny Green * 21 3-9 3-6 2-2 3 0 1 2 0 11 8 -
Bryn Forbes 22 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
Tony Parker 19 4-9 0-0 2-2 1 8 1 0 1 10 10 -
Rudy Gay 19 2-9 1-3 4-4 6 0 1 0 3 9 4 -
Pau Gasol 15 3-6 0-0 5-5 5 2 0 2 0 11 14 -
Manu Ginobili 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Brandon Paul 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Joffrey Lauvergne 9 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Davis Bertans 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter