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2018-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% - ✗
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 ✗ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - ✗

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -3 (98-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 33 4-21 1-4 2-3 4 3 2 1 1 11 -1 -
Cory Joseph * 33 5-8 1-2 2-2 5 5 3 0 1 13 17 -
Thaddeus Young * 31 7-11 0-1 5-5 10 2 2 0 1 19 21 -
Myles Turner * 30 9-12 2-4 5-6 6 0 1 0 2 25 18 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 25 1-11 0-5 0-1 5 3 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Darren Collison 21 3-8 0-2 4-5 3 2 1 0 0 10 8 -
Lance Stephenson 18 5-10 0-2 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 11 6 -
Trevor Booker 17 2-5 0-2 1-1 6 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Glenn Robinson III 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Domantas Sabonis 10 1-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 2 -
Al Jefferson 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -1 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 37 4-9 2-7 0-1 10 2 0 3 1 10 15 -
Dario Šarić * 32 4-11 2-6 8-10 3 3 0 0 5 18 8 -
Joel Embiid * 32 11-22 0-5 7-8 12 4 0 3 8 29 18 -
Ben Simmons * 30 4-10 0-0 2-2 13 10 0 0 2 10 21 -
JJ Redick * 28 6-10 4-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 16 9 -
Marco Belinelli 26 2-7 1-5 1-1 2 1 1 1 2 6 2 -
T.J. McConnell 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Ersan Ilyasova 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 5 4 -
Amir Johnson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter