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2018-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 13.9% 86.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% - ✓
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 ✓ (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers +25 (112-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 26 4-6 0-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 8 11 -
Dewayne Dedmon * 26 4-7 0-1 0-0 7 1 2 1 3 8 9 -
Dennis Schröder * 24 6-14 1-5 2-2 1 4 1 0 6 15 1 -
Kent Bazemore * 20 2-10 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 4 0 -
Taurean Prince * 18 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 1 -
Tyler Dorsey 24 6-15 3-8 3-3 4 0 0 0 2 18 5 -
Jaylen Morris 24 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 9 7 -
Mike Muscala 20 4-6 3-5 1-1 5 2 2 0 1 12 14 -
Miles Plumlee 18 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 3 1 -
Josh Magette 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 0 0 6 -
Andrew White III 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Isaiah Taylor 6 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 4 1 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cory Joseph * 35 7-13 2-4 2-2 6 4 2 0 2 18 15 -
Bojan Bogdanović * 30 8-15 2-3 3-3 3 2 2 0 2 21 11 -
Myles Turner * 27 7-16 3-5 0-0 13 0 1 2 2 17 15 -
Victor Oladipo * 25 7-9 2-4 1-1 5 5 2 0 3 17 17 -
Thaddeus Young * 23 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 4 0 -
Domantas Sabonis 25 1-5 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
Darren Collison 20 7-10 2-2 1-2 2 5 1 0 0 17 15 -
Trevor Booker 17 3-6 2-2 0-0 8 1 0 1 2 8 10 -
Lance Stephenson 16 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Glenn Robinson III 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T.J. Leaf 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Joe Young 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter