Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +28 (115-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 10-22 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Dragan Bender * | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 29 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Josh Jackson * | 12 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 29 | 2-15 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Marquese Chriss | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shaquille Harrison | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Davon Reed | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alex Len | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alec Peters | 9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 29 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 29 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Paul George * | 28 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 25 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Josh Huestis | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Terrance Ferguson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Abrines | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nick Collison | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter