Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -3 (104-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 34 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 33 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tomas Satoransky * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 23 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tim Frazier | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mike Scott | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 32 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 35 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| John Henson * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jabari Parker | 26 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Thon Maker | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter