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2018-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 63.3% 36.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% - ✓
Margin 76.2% 23.8% -6.4 ✓ (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 62.6% 37.4% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento Kings -18 (100-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 38 9-10 0-0 8-8 17 4 2 2 5 26 36 -
Andrew Wiggins * 37 8-15 1-3 5-6 1 2 1 1 0 22 12 -
Taj Gibson * 34 6-7 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 1 1 15 15 -
Nemanja Bjelica * 33 5-10 2-3 0-0 8 3 4 0 1 12 16 -
Jeff Teague * 32 4-14 1-2 11-12 4 7 3 0 2 20 18 -
Jamal Crawford 24 2-11 2-7 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 6 -1 -
Gorgui Dieng 21 3-7 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
Tyus Jones 15 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
Cole Aldrich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Aaron Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Jackson * 35 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 3 6 -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 32 4-13 1-4 2-2 3 6 0 1 2 11 6 -
Skal Labissiere * 31 8-11 1-3 3-3 4 0 1 0 0 20 14 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 29 7-13 0-0 3-3 5 3 0 0 2 17 10 -
De'Aaron Fox * 27 5-9 3-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 13 9 -
Buddy Hield 27 7-15 2-6 0-0 5 3 0 1 3 16 7 -
Kosta Koufos 19 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
Bruno Caboclo 18 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 1 -
Frank Mason III 17 3-6 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 1 4 9 3 -

* = starter