Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +22 (124-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 30 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 28 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 30 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 26 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 30 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 25 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 25 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ivica Zubac | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 17 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Ennis | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter