Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | +17.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (104-97). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 34 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Doug McDermott * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell * | 33 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Powell * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 31 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Jones | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 20 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Johnathan Motley | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 28 | - |
| James Harden * | 34 | 6-19 | 4-13 | 11-12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-11 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eric Gordon | 24 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Green | 19 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Markel Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter