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2018-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 โœ— (26.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -22 (99-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cedi Osman * 29 4-8 2-3 2-4 5 1 1 0 2 12 9 -
JR Smith * 28 6-7 3-4 0-0 6 1 1 2 1 15 17 -
LeBron James * 27 9-20 2-5 4-7 8 10 1 1 2 24 22 -
Tristan Thompson * 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
George Hill * 21 3-8 2-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 3 12 5 -
Jordan Clarkson 23 7-11 3-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 17 12 -
Larry Nance Jr. 20 2-5 0-1 1-1 4 3 1 0 0 5 8 -
Rodney Hood 18 6-11 3-6 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 15 8 -
Jeff Green 16 3-6 0-1 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 10 6 -
Kyle Korver 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 3 6 -
John Holland 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jose Calderon 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ante Zizic 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 32 2-9 0-5 1-2 7 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
Jayson Tatum * 27 4-11 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 9 0 -
Kyrie Irving * 26 7-14 1-7 3-4 3 5 0 0 2 18 10 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 24 6-12 3-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 17 8 -
Al Horford * 24 4-8 1-4 0-0 6 6 1 2 4 9 12 -
Terry Rozier 33 6-15 3-8 6-7 9 5 0 1 1 21 20 -
Semi Ojeleye 24 1-5 0-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Aron Baynes 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Daniel Theis 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
Greg Monroe 11 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 1 5 8 -
Abdel Nader 10 2-4 1-2 0-1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -1 -

* = starter