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2018-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% - โœ—
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.2 โœ— (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.5% 40.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% - โœ—

Actual: Orlando Magic +22 (127-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 34 5-12 0-0 3-4 5 5 0 0 2 13 9 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 4-9 1-3 3-3 2 3 1 0 1 12 8 -
Julius Randle * 26 7-9 0-0 6-7 9 1 0 0 3 20 18 -
Tyler Ennis * 10 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Brook Lopez * 8 2-7 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 5 -1 -
Kyle Kuzma 28 5-13 0-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 11 2 -
Jordan Clarkson 24 7-14 2-5 4-4 5 3 1 1 3 20 13 -
Larry Nance Jr. 24 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 8 9 -
Alex Caruso 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
Corey Brewer 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 5 5 -
Josh Hart 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Thomas Bryant 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bismack Biyombo * 30 2-4 0-0 1-4 6 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
Evan Fournier * 27 6-10 5-7 2-2 2 4 1 0 1 19 15 -
Elfrid Payton * 24 6-10 0-0 3-7 7 6 4 1 3 15 20 -
Jonathon Simmons * 23 4-8 2-2 4-4 0 2 0 1 1 14 8 -
Marreese Speights * 23 6-11 3-6 6-7 4 1 0 0 0 21 15 -
Mario Hezonja 25 5-8 4-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 14 13 -
Shelvin Mack 24 4-9 0-4 5-5 1 7 2 0 1 13 13 -
D.J. Augustin 21 5-11 2-6 0-0 4 3 3 0 2 12 9 -
Wes Iwundu 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 1 6 10 -
Khem Birch 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Arron Afflalo 6 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 -

* = starter