Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +11 (125-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| JR Smith * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 28 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 23 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Channing Frye | 21 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Jeff Green | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jose Calderon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanley Johnson * | 40 | 10-21 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 37 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 41 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 29 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Buycks | 14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Henry Ellenson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Langston Galloway | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter