Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Troy Daniels * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Dragan Bender * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Ulis | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Josh Jackson | 29 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Alex Len | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Davon Reed | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarell Martin * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Wayne Selden * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Harrison * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tyreke Evans | 26 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Ivan Rabb | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Deyonta Davis | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Myke Henry | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter