Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +17 (121-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Tolliver * | 39 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 26 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Stanley Johnson | 28 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Buycks | 20 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 30 | - |
| JR Smith * | 29 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 27 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tristan Thompson * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jae Crowder | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 22 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Channing Frye | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Rose | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cedi Osman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter