Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | โ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | โ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | โ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 31 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Maxi Kleber * | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Yogi Ferrell | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 23 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devin Harris | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 11-23 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-15 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 26 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkiฤ * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ed Davis | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 20 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Zach Collins | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter