Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (112-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 40 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| John Wall * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 37 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 31 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 31 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Mike Scott | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tomas Satoransky | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 7 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 42 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 37 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 31 | 7-19 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 29 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Stanley Johnson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Langston Galloway | 11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Buycks | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Henry Ellenson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter