Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +1 (104-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathon Simmons * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 7-20 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Evan Fournier * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Elfrid Payton * | 30 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Mario Hezonja | 24 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Khem Birch | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 11 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Marreese Speights | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Wes Iwundu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 2-8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| JR Smith * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 29 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 22 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Green | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade | 18 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Rose | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter