Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (101-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 43 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 40 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 17 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 35 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Clarkson | 30 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Hart | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Ennis | 9 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yogi Ferrell * | 42 | 5-14 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 39 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dennis Smith Jr. * | 39 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 7-21 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 18 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter