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2018-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 94.1% 5.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 88.8% 11.2% - โœ“
Margin 93.1% 6.9% -14.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.9% 12.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.9% 12.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.3% 22.7% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -17 (95-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Anderson * 39 6-12 4-7 2-2 7 1 2 0 0 18 16 -
Trevor Ariza * 38 6-12 4-8 2-2 7 1 2 0 2 18 14 -
Clint Capela * 35 7-11 0-0 3-4 16 3 2 1 4 17 24 -
Eric Gordon * 29 5-19 2-12 2-2 1 4 2 0 2 14 0 -
Chris Paul * 27 9-18 2-6 5-7 8 6 0 2 0 25 23 -
Gerald Green 33 3-14 1-9 5-5 3 1 0 0 2 12 0 -
P.J. Tucker 30 2-6 2-4 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 6 11 -
Briante Weber 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 5 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 9-18 3-8 6-6 6 9 2 0 9 27 17 -
T.J. Warren * 36 10-17 1-1 0-2 3 2 1 0 1 21 9 -
Dragan Bender * 32 5-12 3-6 1-1 8 2 0 2 0 14 14 -
Tyler Ulis * 31 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 9 1 0 1 3 9 -
Tyson Chandler * 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 2 6 12 -
Troy Daniels 26 3-11 3-10 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 9 -3 -
Danuel House Jr. 17 3-5 2-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 8 7 -
Alec Peters 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 4 -
Alex Len 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Jared Dudley 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter