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2018-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - ✗
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 ✗ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 52.9% 47.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -5 (105-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allen Crabbe * 33 3-10 2-6 2-3 5 2 1 0 0 10 8 -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson * 29 6-14 0-1 2-5 6 3 1 0 3 14 7 -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 29 6-15 3-9 5-7 9 10 1 0 3 20 22 -
DeMarre Carroll * 27 5-9 3-7 0-2 4 3 4 0 3 13 12 -
Tyler Zeller * 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
Quincy Acy 26 3-6 3-6 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
Joe Harris 23 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 10 9 -
Caris LeVert 21 3-9 0-2 1-1 2 7 0 0 2 7 5 -
Jarrett Allen 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Jahlil Okafor 12 6-8 0-0 5-6 0 1 0 0 1 17 9 -
Nik Stauskas 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kent Bazemore * 31 4-8 2-2 6-8 4 2 2 0 3 16 13 -
Dennis Schröder * 31 14-26 3-5 3-3 3 7 3 0 3 34 18 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 27 2-6 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Taurean Prince * 27 0-4 0-3 1-2 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 -
Miles Plumlee * 18 3-4 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 8 9 -
Malcolm Delaney 26 2-6 1-3 4-4 2 5 0 0 3 9 7 -
Dewayne Dedmon 22 5-11 1-4 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 11 11 -
John Collins 14 2-4 0-1 1-1 10 0 0 1 3 5 9 -
Tyler Dorsey 14 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
Isaiah Taylor 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Mike Muscala 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter