Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✗ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -13 (97-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taurean Prince * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Delaney | 20 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 16 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| John Collins | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tyler Cavanaugh | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 38 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 37 | 11-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 31 | 4-21 | 0-8 | 1-2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Will Barton | 34 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Torrey Craig | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Kenneth Faried | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malik Beasley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Richard Jefferson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter