🐻⬇️🏀

@
2018-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% - ✓
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 ✓ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 35 8-16 4-8 0-0 4 3 1 2 2 20 12 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 29 4-9 1-4 4-6 13 2 0 1 2 13 18 -
Kent Bazemore * 29 4-14 1-4 4-6 6 4 5 0 1 13 13 -
Dennis Schröder * 27 7-19 0-3 4-4 4 1 2 1 4 18 3 -
Miles Plumlee * 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 5 8 -
Malcolm Delaney 26 4-11 1-4 0-0 7 6 0 0 1 9 10 -
Dewayne Dedmon 20 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 6 4 -
Marco Belinelli 18 1-10 1-6 7-9 1 1 0 0 0 10 2 -
Tyler Cavanaugh 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 5 2 -
Mike Muscala 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
John Collins 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 2 0 3 10 -
Tyler Dorsey 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lou Williams * 40 12-29 4-9 6-6 3 4 0 0 6 34 6 -
Jawun Evans * 39 4-11 1-1 4-5 8 4 4 1 0 13 19 -
C.J. Williams * 37 5-7 3-4 2-2 3 2 4 2 1 15 18 -
DeAndre Jordan * 33 10-13 0-0 5-8 18 2 0 1 2 25 31 -
Wesley Johnson * 32 2-7 1-3 0-0 7 1 2 2 3 5 7 -
Tyrone Wallace 19 3-7 0-1 5-7 2 1 0 2 1 11 8 -
Sam Dekker 15 2-6 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Montrezl Harrell 14 0-4 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 1 2 0 -3 -
Sindarius Thornwell 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 -

* = starter