Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +1 (111-110). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Anderson * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 12-21 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Dejounte Murray * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Patty Mills | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Davis Bertans | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 27 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Paul | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 38 | 11-24 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Shabazz Napier * | 33 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Evan Turner * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Harkless | 24 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Ed Davis | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
* = starter