Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | -2.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat +1 (103-102). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 12-25 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 7 | - |
| Joe Ingles * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 28 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Rodney Hood | 29 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Joe Johnson | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alec Burks | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 33 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 31 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| James Johnson | 26 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter