Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.2% | 25.8% | -5.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +8 (106-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Nikola Jokić * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Trey Lyles | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Will Barton | 30 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Malik Beasley | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Torrey Craig | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Malachi Richardson * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 15 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 32 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Vince Carter | 31 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kosta Koufos | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 22 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
* = starter