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2018-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Margin 68.3% 31.7% -4.2 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 9-18 5-10 11-11 5 5 1 0 0 34 27 -
John Wall * 36 8-16 3-5 6-8 3 9 4 1 4 25 22 -
Markieff Morris * 31 5-12 0-2 2-2 17 0 0 2 0 12 19 -
Otto Porter Jr. * 27 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Marcin Gortat * 26 3-12 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 2 0 8 4 -
Tomas Satoransky 19 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 3 1 1 0 1 5 -
Mike Scott 17 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 10 1 -
Ian Mahinmi 17 1-3 0-0 2-4 9 2 0 1 2 4 11 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 16 2-5 0-1 2-3 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Jodie Meeks 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 32 5-15 2-5 5-6 11 5 0 5 3 17 20 -
Tyreke Evans * 31 10-24 3-10 3-3 5 7 1 0 3 26 12 -
JaMychal Green * 24 4-6 2-2 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 11 11 -
Dillon Brooks * 17 3-4 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
Wayne Selden * 15 1-7 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -3 -
James Ennis III 33 1-4 0-1 6-8 4 0 1 1 1 8 9 -
Mario Chalmers 27 4-9 1-4 4-4 4 3 0 0 0 13 11 -
Jarell Martin 20 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 8 3 -
Brandan Wright 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 1 0 0 11 -
Ben McLemore 9 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 4 3 -
Kobi Simmons 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Deyonta Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter