Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -10 (114-124). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 31 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 37 | 11-20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 10-20 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Andre Iguodala * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Nick Young | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kevon Looney | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| David West | 11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Bell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 37 | 12-24 | 2-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 36 | 10-21 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Gerald Green | 33 | 9-16 | 8-15 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Briante Weber | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tarik Black | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter