Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +21 (122-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Stephenson * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Joe Young | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alex Poythress | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Leaf | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 29 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 28 | - |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| John Henson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 31 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Thon Maker | 22 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| DeAndre Liggins | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Sean Kilpatrick | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter