Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | +18.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +13 (141-128). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 30 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 28 | 10-13 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| JaMychal Green * | 19 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Harrison * | 15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kobi Simmons | 30 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| James Ennis III | 25 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jarell Martin | 23 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Deyonta Davis | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ivan Rabb | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 8-19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 25 | 13-17 | 10-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 28 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Andre Iguodala | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Bell | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Shaun Livingston | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| David West | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Nick Young | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Patrick McCaw | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter