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2017-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 7.3% 92.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 15.8% 84.2% - โœ—
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 โœ— (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 23.9% 76.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -11 (100-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 40 10-15 0-0 9-12 13 7 2 0 4 29 32 -
Kemba Walker * 35 5-16 3-9 3-4 5 5 3 2 1 16 14 -
Nicolas Batum * 31 6-10 2-4 1-2 4 6 1 0 3 15 13 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 25 5-12 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 0 12 3 -
Marvin Williams * 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 0 6 -
Frank Kaminsky 25 5-8 1-2 3-5 6 3 2 1 0 14 18 -
Jeremy Lamb 22 4-13 0-3 3-4 6 1 1 2 0 11 8 -
Treveon Graham 16 3-5 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Michael Carter-Williams 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 2 2 -
Johnny O'Bryant III 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 36 10-20 3-7 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 24 7 -
Kevin Durant * 33 8-19 4-5 7-7 4 6 0 0 3 27 15 -
Draymond Green * 33 4-11 0-2 0-0 11 16 0 3 5 8 22 -
Shaun Livingston * 23 5-7 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
Zaza Pachulia * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 0 5 -
Andre Iguodala 27 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 2 6 -
Patrick McCaw 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -
Jordan Bell 19 3-7 0-1 2-2 5 2 2 1 1 8 10 -
Nick Young 15 2-7 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -3 -
David West 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 10 10 -
Kevon Looney 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter