Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +13 (111-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 35 | 6-20 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 34 | 12-16 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 27 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| John Collins | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Malcolm Delaney | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Cavanaugh | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 30 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| OG Anunoby * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 21 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 18 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Delon Wright | 29 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Pascal Siakam | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Fred VanVleet | 17 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Norman Powell | 17 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Lucas Nogueira | 7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter