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2017-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% -0.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% - ✓
Margin 55.6% 44.4% -1.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.2% 48.8% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -3 (92-95). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shabazz Napier * 35 8-18 4-7 1-2 3 5 3 0 1 21 13 -
CJ McCollum * 35 7-23 2-6 1-2 5 3 2 1 3 17 2 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 5 13 -
Evan Turner * 20 3-8 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 7 3 -
Jusuf Nurkić * 16 2-11 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 4 1 -
Zach Collins 30 4-6 1-2 2-4 6 3 0 2 3 11 13 -
Ed Davis 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
Pat Connaughton 25 3-6 0-3 0-1 3 1 1 2 1 6 6 -
Maurice Harkless 25 9-16 2-3 2-3 6 1 0 2 2 22 13 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 36 4-13 2-6 0-0 8 11 2 1 5 10 14 -
Josh Hart * 34 5-11 1-3 0-0 10 3 1 0 1 11 13 -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 6-19 2-6 4-5 7 3 1 0 3 18 7 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 5-12 1-5 0-0 9 1 2 0 0 11 11 -
Andrew Bogut * 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 7 -
Julius Randle 22 6-9 0-0 4-7 9 1 0 0 1 16 16 -
Jordan Clarkson 21 7-14 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 18 8 -
Corey Brewer 13 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 3 -3 -
Alex Caruso 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Larry Nance Jr. 10 1-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
Thomas Bryant 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Tyler Ennis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter