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2017-12-20

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% +4.0 ✗ (6.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - ✗
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 ✗ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -2 (91-93). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 35 10-17 0-2 2-3 8 1 0 3 5 22 12 -
Pau Gasol * 33 8-14 1-3 3-3 17 5 0 2 4 20 26 -
Dejounte Murray * 27 2-8 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 4 4 4 -
Danny Green * 24 3-6 2-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 3 8 5 -
Bryn Forbes * 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -
Manu Ginobili 25 4-10 2-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 10 5 -
Kyle Anderson 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 3 2 1 1 5 12 -
Patty Mills 23 5-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
Rudy Gay 15 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 8 3 -
Joffrey Lauvergne 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Davis Bertans 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 5-22 0-7 3-3 5 6 1 0 0 13 3 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 35 3-11 2-6 0-0 6 2 4 1 0 8 10 -
Damian Lillard * 34 6-17 2-6 3-3 4 3 2 0 2 17 7 -
Evan Turner * 32 7-11 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 14 5 -
Jusuf Nurkić * 25 7-12 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 1 2 15 8 -
Ed Davis 22 3-7 0-0 1-2 10 1 2 0 1 7 12 -
Shabazz Napier 21 6-10 2-5 0-1 1 2 1 0 2 14 6 -
Zach Collins 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Pat Connaughton 13 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 -
Meyers Leonard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter