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2017-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% -3.7 ✓ (6.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 72.0% 28.0% - ✓
Margin 69.6% 30.4% -4.6 ✓ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 58.6% 41.4% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -10 (95-105). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanović * 33 8-14 1-5 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 19 6 -
Victor Oladipo * 31 8-15 3-5 4-5 5 2 1 0 2 23 14 -
Thaddeus Young * 29 1-5 0-0 2-2 8 3 1 0 1 4 10 -
Myles Turner * 29 6-13 1-4 7-7 6 2 1 3 2 20 17 -
Darren Collison * 22 5-8 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
Cory Joseph 28 5-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
Lance Stephenson 26 4-6 0-2 2-2 8 6 0 1 2 10 17 -
Domantas Sabonis 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 4 7 -
Joe Young 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Alex Poythress 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Damien Wilkins 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schröder * 31 4-15 0-3 0-0 3 8 2 0 1 8 5 -
Taurean Prince * 27 3-10 1-6 1-2 6 3 0 1 2 8 6 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 26 4-11 1-4 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
Kent Bazemore * 26 5-7 3-4 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 13 13 -
Miles Plumlee * 21 4-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 2 1 10 12 -
John Collins 26 6-7 0-0 6-6 9 0 0 1 4 18 17 -
Marco Belinelli 23 5-13 1-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 13 4 -
DeAndre' Bembry 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 3 5 -
Isaiah Taylor 16 1-3 0-1 1-1 4 3 0 1 0 3 8 -
Malcolm Delaney 11 2-3 1-1 4-5 2 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
Luke Babbitt 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter