Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +21 (120-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ingles * | 37 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Hood | 31 | 10-18 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Alec Burks | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Royce O'Neale | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 41 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| James Harden * | 37 | 6-17 | 4-12 | 10-10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 34 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 34 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eric Gordon | 35 | 12-18 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Tucker | 33 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tarik Black | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter