Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -1 (111-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 30 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 29 | 12-23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 28 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 23 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Theis | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Shane Larkin | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 13-23 | 2-7 | 10-13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 25 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Bojan Bogdanović * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis | 29 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Joe Young | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Al Jefferson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter