Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.3% | 23.7% | -6.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -9 (93-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Al Horford * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 30 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Aron Baynes * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Terry Rozier | 20 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Daniel Theis | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shane Larkin | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Semi Ojeleye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Guerschon Yabusele | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Abdel Nader | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 38 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 33 | 11-19 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 24 | - |
| JaMychal Green * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Harrison * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 25 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jarell Martin | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kobi Simmons | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Ennis III | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Deyonta Davis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ben McLemore | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Vincent Hunter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter