Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +5 (90-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou Williams * | 36 | 4-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | -2 | - |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Milos Teodosic * | 27 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jamil Wilson * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jawun Evans | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Sam Dekker | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell | 15 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Sindarius Thornwell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Willie Reed | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Richardson * | 36 | 10-16 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| James Johnson * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Mickey | 27 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 24 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 23 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
* = starter