Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +2 (96-94). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 36 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 35 | 6-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| John Collins | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 21 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Gasol * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tyreke Evans * | 29 | 9-15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| JaMychal Green * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Harrison * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers | 31 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Chandler Parsons | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jarell Martin | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Deyonta Davis | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ben McLemore | 11 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter