Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -14 (91-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 28 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 28 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 26 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Langston Galloway | 21 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 19 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Stanley Johnson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ish Smith | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Henry Ellenson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 26 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Taurean Prince * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Miles Plumlee * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 23 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| John Collins | 19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Malcolm Delaney | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Taylor | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Dorsey | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Cavanaugh | 7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter